NavList:
A Community Devoted to the Preservation and Practice of Celestial Navigation and Other Methods of Traditional Wayfinding
Still on LOP's, or perhaps OFF them.
From: Jared Sherman
Date: 2002 Apr 30, 13:14 -0400
From: Jared Sherman
Date: 2002 Apr 30, 13:14 -0400
George, all this talk of simulations and errors makes me wonder how anyone can discuss simluations at all before one has even enumerated the possible errors and error conditions. Without knowing exactly what errors need to be simulated in each case--and the errors will be different depending on the observer's habits and equipment in each case, although many will be similar--any talk of a computer simulation is meaningless, it would merely simulate a "condition" which has no confirmed relevance to the actual situation being simulated. Consider if you will a case which everyone has omitted so far: Three bearings, observations, LOPs are noted. Two happen to be dead on, literally dead on within the width of the finest pencil. Only the third happens to be off, because the observer sneezed. Now, does the real position lie inside the cocked hat or outside the cocked hat? Well, in fact it lies at the intersection of two LOPs and the cocked hat is now an artifact generated by the fact that the third bearing--and only the third--was pushed to the side. It seems like all the neat math telling us that the position was really here or there, has omitted three finite positions each of which may be acccurate. Which brings me back to the real point: None of this matters, and it is arguably of no real use at all to argue whether the exact position lies here or there. That is the mistake of the GPS user who says "I am exactly HERE" while the other end of the boat hits the rocks. If you've plotted a cocked hat, you also plot a circle of error around it, and you say "I am in this circle" not in (or out) of the cocked hat. If you say "I am here" there is always an inference that a circle of error exists and it needs to be stated and quantified--unless one wants to join the novice GPS user, wondering how those rocks didn't get charted correctly.