
NavList:
A Community Devoted to the Preservation and Practice of Celestial Navigation and Other Methods of Traditional Wayfinding
Re: Raw data for bubble
From: Peter Fogg
Date: 2007 Mar 9, 16:36 +1100
From: Peter Fogg
Date: 2007 Mar 9, 16:36 +1100
Alex wrote: > But if your goal is to know your position in the sea, > the average is not useless: it tells you your position. I guess this is true so long as the errors are truly random, so that given enough observations the positives and negatives can balance each other out. And then you need lots and lots of observations - the more the better for this exercise. In practice only a limited number of observations of the same body is usually possible, for a variety of reasons, so any outlier has a great chance to significantly skew the results of averaging, away from the actual position. An advantage of comparing the slope is that these outliers are immediately seen and discarded. In practice the sort of gross error that tends to crop up is writing down the wrong minute of time, while focusing on the seconds; or the wrong degree of altitude, while concentrating on the minutes. Taking a close look at the graphical analysis known as comparing the slope may enable the identification and rectification of such error, so good data has been created from bad. Averaging would have simply led to an erroneous result, particularly with few observations. Comparing the slope is a kind of averaging, since with even random errors the adopted line will bisect the negative and positive values. I think having a graphical solution is intuitively more useful than just a row of numbers - you can evaluate the sights made and shift the line of best fit to suit the data by eye in a way that no mathematical number crunching process can achieve quite as well. In effect you can nominate the importance given each sight; how close to the adopted line you allow it to sit, perhaps in accordance with your memory of how clearly and how well you remember that sight being made, as well as in light of how the other sights fit the line. Don't laugh! Often when making observations you think: yes, that went well, or the opposite; that one might have been a bit dodgy. In the end the sights have to fit the line and to some extent the resolution of this problem is best done intuitively, I think; and graphically, I am sure. --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ To post to this group, send email to NavList@fer3.com To unsubscribe, send email to NavList-unsubscribe@fer3.com -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---