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    Re: How accurate are fixes in practice?
    From: Peter Fogg
    Date: 2008 Aug 4, 11:15 +1000

    Bill wrote:
     (average them on the fly then do a plot against
    the actual Hc slope later).  
     
    How is this averaging on the fly achieved, Bill?

     From an approx. 11 meter sailcraft under
    good conditions I would expect individual intercepts to be +/- 1.6 nm or
    better 66% of the time, with an average intercept (plot fitted to Hc line as
    per David Burch) better than 01.5 nm.
     
    Sounds pretty good to me, given those somewhat trying conditions.  Its interesting that, if I have understood correctly, your actual sights have been improved via some sort of comparison with slope technique.  And yes, please send me that PDF of the Burch article.

    My worst set (first on-the-water experience) was using a kit cardboard
    sextant against sand dunes with a hazy horizon and confused 8-10ft seas on a
    34' fin-keel sailboat.  My intercepts were about 5-7 nm off, all in the same
    direction.
     
    Still rather good for cardboard.  I'll have to lift my game.

    My second worst (using Astra) was a day with 4 ft seas but with the
    totally-obscured horizon mentioned above.  I looked at distance boats'
    waterlines, and adjusted with dip short to guess about where above the
    bottom and below the top of the mess the horizon might be.  The range of
    intercepts was approx. plus/minus 6'.  Using the Hc slope method the
    "averaged" outcome was almost spot on. Better lucky than good. <g>
     
    Lucky or an endorsement of the slope technique?

    In my last on-the-water attempt (July 2008) clouds rolled in just as I was
    ready to shoot.  I got off 2 observations shooting through the cloud before
    the sun was obscured. 3 ft seas and a usable although not crisp horizon.  I
    had to shoot through sails/rigging so I was not able to fully rock the
    sextant to my satisfaction.  My intercepts,  0!7 and 1!9 (average 1!3) were
    both larger than the Hc. That suggests to me the sextant was not plumb.

    As to fixes, I cheat and do not follow established procedure. I factor
    leeway into DR and use my EP as AP. I would agree that any running fix (5
    hours) greater than 3 nm off my GPS position under average conditions would
    have me looking for a reason why.
     
    I don't think this is cheating.  Sounds more like common sense.
     

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