NavList:
A Community Devoted to the Preservation and Practice of Celestial Navigation and Other Methods of Traditional Wayfinding
Re: Fw: Re: Still on LOP's
From: George Huxtable
Date: 2002 Apr 25, 23:31 +0100
From: George Huxtable
Date: 2002 Apr 25, 23:31 +0100
A message from Barrie Hudson, quoted below, was sent, or forwarded (not sure which) to this list. >----- Original Message ----- >From: "bhudson">To: "Rodney Myrvaagnes" >Sent: Monday, April 22, 2002 4:50 PM >Subject: Re: Re: Still on LOP's > > >> From a practical point of view that part of the cocked hat that is closest >> to land is taken as the position. This is for safety. This is a most >> interesting discussion. With so many chances of error when using P/L's any >> fix is a best approximation however we strive for accuracy. >> Barrie This was the attitude taken by old-school navigators in the erroneous belief that the true position must always be embraced by the cocked hat. It interests me what degree of safety Barrie thinks he is achieving when he takes that part of the cocked hat that is closest to land as his position. It has, I hope, been generally accepted by most listmembers by now that there is only a one-in-four chance that the true position will be contained within the cocked hat at all. If a navigator insists on assuming, against the evidence, that he must be within the cocked hat, then he will get a marginal improvement in his safety by presuming that he as at that part of the triangle which is nearest the danger, rather than at its centre. But he is being unduly complacent, and there is a strong chance that he may be significantly nearer still to the danger. The only safe thing to do is to assess the likely errors involved, in the light of his previous experience, and allow an appropriate offset. This offset should always be greater, and might be many times greater, than the dimensions of a particular cocked hat. George Huxtable ------------------------------ george@huxtable.u-net.com George Huxtable, 1 Sandy Lane, Southmoor, Abingdon, Oxon OX13 5HX, UK. Tel. 01865 820222 or (int.) +44 1865 820222. ------------------------------