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    Re: Another round on the fate of Amelia Earhart in today's news
    From: Brad Morris
    Date: 2017 Jul 10, 23:40 -0400

    Over the years, I have seen you (properly) debunk one far fetched theory after another.  You have obviously given a tremendous amount of thought to this topic.

    I haven't yet seen your estimate of what *did* happen.  I don't even want to suggest a scintilla, I would prefer to hear your idea, unencumbered by anything I might say.  If at all possible, a few paragraphs would be all that I am looking for.

    What do you think happened???


    On Jul 10, 2017 8:30 PM, "Gary LaPook" <NoReply_LaPook@fer3.com> wrote:
    I watched the much ballyhooed show tonight, My initial thoughts:
    1. I told my sister when the show started that I bet they leave out the "1/2 hour of fuel left" message and so, they did.
    2. Spink found other items of aircraft aluminum, why weren't they mentioned? Why weren't they tested? The diagram he showed of the path where the airplane was dragged showed the location at :48 into the show,  where the "dust cover" the "inspection plate" the "trim piece" and "part 4A"  were found. 
    3. We discussed these in the past plus the cover for the auxiliary electric power socket and showed that her plane didn't have such a cover. The presence of these other pieces of aircraft aluminum on Mili that didn't come from an Electra shows that none of the aluminum came from her plane unless he is going to claim that two airplanes just happened to land there. So the show didn't mention these discordant pieces of evidence. 

    4.  The metallurgist said "trim piece" was made out of "1100" aluminum, not the 24ST that we know the Electra was made out of. 
    5. They state that the plane took off with 1151 gallons of fuel while both witnesses on Lae said she took off with one tank half empty so only had 1100 gallons on board.

    6. They said that the only navigation was dead reckoning when we know that the plan was for celestial navigation. Earhart's last radiogram said "NOONAN MUST HAVE STARS." which are not needed if just dead reckoning. 
    7. The guy that said the back of the seated person was Earhart by comparison with other photos of the back, pulled a Glickman, (TIGHAR's photo "expert") by not very accurately estimating matching points on those photos, just like the arm index points (under her sleeve) in the arm matching claims.
    8. They flipped a left side of Noonan's face photo so as to match it the claimed right side of the image in the photo. Aren't there any photos of right side of  Noonan's face out there that could have been used for this comparison? Or do those other photos not support their claims.
    9. No mention that is was more than 850 miles from the spot where they theorized she turned to the west to get to Mili. 
    10. How did the Japanese know she had landed so as to send a barge to collect her plane?
    11. Looking at the rough coral landing spot, not a chance that the landing gear was not ripped off so no radio messages since the engines couldn't run to make electricity for the radio.
    12. It's 1020 miles to Jaluit and about 860 miles to Mili from Howland, almost 6 hours flying time. Earhart didn't say at 2013 Z that she had abandoned looking for Howland so, if she had headed towards the Marshalls, then she wouldn't have gotten there until 26 hours after takeoff and even the the most optimistic estimate of her endurance is only 24 hours. 


    From: Gary LaPook <NoReply_LaPook@fer3.com>
    To: garylapook---.net
    Sent: Friday, July 7, 2017 11:50 PM
    Subject: [NavList] Re: Another round on the fate of Amelia Earhart in today's news

    From: Ian Vaughn
    Date: 2017 Jul 7, 17:05 -0700
    As Mike says, you've looked at this more than most.
    Take a look at the navigation materials I put up on my website:

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